Posts data : year ending 2003-03-31

xo

The latest data analysis is up at : http://abma.x-maru.org/~xo/plots.

Most significant trend: continued uptrend of ABMAR numbers since the begin-of-year debates. Notice that the ABA and ABMA numbers are pretty flat and mirror each other for the most recent two months other than a spike in late Feb/early Mar, which I would attribute to a unusual flood if I wasn't too lazy to go confirm it.

Projections: ABMAR will flatten soon, or at least slow down to the "normal" rates as seen in the other groups. It just can't go on (else, I'm quitting my job at animeusenet.org Wink

).

-xo

Melchior · Posted: Fri Apr 04, 2003 1:19 am Post subject:

Nifty data, xo!

I find it interesting to see how closely ABA and ABMA follow each other. I also find it interesting that on the whole, the number of posts logged hasn't increased since a year ago, ignoring seasonal spikes.

Most interesting, though, is (as you mentioned) the continuous rise of ABMAR. Jeez, you could practically drawn a straight-line fit on that graph! Amazing! I wonder if any NSPs will ever label ABMAR a "problem" newsgroup, and restrict/remove it... (nah, proably not, if they're simply allocating groups a bunch at a time).

Perhaps the reason that ABA/ABMA haven't experienced a significant increase in posts over the last year is because ABMAR has stolen some of the action! (I think that in megabyte count, however, ABA/ABMA have increased in volume-- with most of the series that I'm downloading these days, I can only fit 3 eps per CD, as opposed to 4 last year, and 5-6 the previous year. sigh.)

Kai-Jinn · Joined: 29 Mar 2003 Posts: 68

ABA and ABMA follow each other because people still crosspost ;P

I think abmar went up in a huge spike mainly because so many people that are doing full reposts of old series... once those are finished it should drop drastically... (mahoromatic, angelic layer, slayers, iketero futari/hanaukyo maid tai, jungle wa guu, full moon, azumanga to name a few)

(inc) · Joined: 18 Feb 2002 Posts: 356 Location: San Diego

Kai-Jinn · Joined: 29 Mar 2003 Posts: 68

Ararargh, I would scream if I see them waste bw with overposted, terrible series like nge, macross 7, initial d, gundam, or gravitation

And what is it with the posting of 150-180MB files that have are like 300x200 reso?

Gorunova · Posted: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:28 pm Post subject:

xo · Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2003 1:24 am Post subject:

I have noticed what I think is a decrease in file sizes as well- too bad that data doesn't exist to bear this out (the data I plot is *number* of posts). I think about a year ago, there was a widespread trend towards 230-ish MB files (3 per disc) but things have gotten a lot better over the past, say, 6 months. 175 MB is the more common now, it seems, and I'm seeing even a return to the 140 or even 115 MB range for some series (Mouse and MTNTNK come to mind).

I imagine it has more to do with the ever changing codec scene, but maybe the fansub groups heard the outcries and have reduced their target file sizes accordingly.

-xo

Kai-Jinn · Joined: 29 Mar 2003 Posts: 68

Mouse was only 15 mins long though, it should be a short file. MTNTNK was done by r-b, who are really good at keeping their size down.

xo · Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2003 7:35 pm Post subject:

Kai-Jinn · Joined: 29 Mar 2003 Posts: 68

Lol, its just mindless fanservice anyways - you didn't miss much ;P

Gorunova · Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2003 8:44 pm Post subject: